Wind speed forecast using LSTM and Bi-LSTM algorithms over gabal el-zayt wind farm

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71 Scopus citations

Abstract

The accurate forecast of wind speed is critical in the integration of renewable energy within the main electrical grid and an important factor for power electrical grid stability, scheduling, and planning. In this paper, we present the deep learning algorithms, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and bidirectional LSTM algorithms (Bi-LSTM) using different configurations and different activation functions to evaluate the experiments and predict the provisional trend of wind speed. We used both models to predict the wind speed over Gabal Elzayt Wind Farm in Egypt. The used data-set belongs to NASA's monthly MERRA-2 wind speed datasets. The LSTM network using the”SoftSign” function as a state activation function and”Sigmoid” as a gate activation function showed better performance and the lowest RMSE error over other experiments. The trained model after validation is utilized to predict the provisional trend of wind speed for the time-frame 2020-2022 for the wind farm. LSTM and Bi-LSTM showed effectiveness to apply for the long-term wind prediction field.

Original languageBritish English
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2020 International Conference on Smart Grids and Energy Systems, SGES 2020
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages922-927
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781728185507
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2020
Event2020 International Conference on Smart Grids and Energy Systems, SGES 2020 - Virtual, Perth, Australia
Duration: 23 Nov 202026 Nov 2020

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2020 International Conference on Smart Grids and Energy Systems, SGES 2020

Conference

Conference2020 International Conference on Smart Grids and Energy Systems, SGES 2020
Country/TerritoryAustralia
CityVirtual, Perth
Period23/11/2026/11/20

Keywords

  • Bi-LSTM
  • Gabal el-Zayt
  • LSTM
  • Wind speed

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