Stationary nonseparable space-time covariance functions on networks

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    Abstract

    The advent of data science has provided an increasing number of challenges with high data complexity. This paper addresses the challenge of space-time data where the spatial domain is not a planar surface, a sphere, or a linear network, but a generalised network (termed a graph with Euclidean edges). Additionally, data are repeatedly measured over different temporal instants. We provide new classes of stationary nonseparable space-time covariance functions where space can be a generalised network, a Euclidean tree, or a linear network, and where time can be linear or circular (seasonal). Because the construction principles are technical, we focus on illustrations that guide the reader through the construction of statistically interpretable examples. A simulation study demonstrates that the correct model can be recovered when compared to misspecified models. In addition, our simulation studies show that we effectively recover simulation parameters. In our data analysis, we consider a traffic accident dataset that shows improved model performance based on covariance specifications and network-based metrics.

    Original languageBritish English
    Pages (from-to)1417-1440
    Number of pages24
    JournalJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology
    Volume85
    Issue number5
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Nov 2023

    Keywords

    • circular time
    • covariance function
    • dynamical support
    • generalised network
    • linear time
    • spatio-temporal statistics

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