TY - GEN
T1 - Investigating RNNs for vehicle volume forecasting in service stations
AU - Khargharia, Himadri Sikhar
AU - Santana, Roberto
AU - Shakya, Siddhartha
AU - Ainslie, Russell
AU - Owusu, Gilbert
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 IEEE.
PY - 2020/12/1
Y1 - 2020/12/1
N2 - Accurate forecasting of customer demand can be critical for increasing operational efficiency and augmenting customer satisfaction, particularly in scenarios that involve multiple service units. In this paper, we focus on the problem of predicting the volume of vehicles in a network of gas stations and conduct an exhaustive investigation of different classes of recurrent neural networks for this problem. Particularly, we investigate the tradeoff between the accuracy and the overall complexity of sets of RNNs that employ varying number of models. We compare higher granularity models, where an RNN is learned from a particular dataset, to more general models sets, where a single neural network is learned from different but related datasets. Our results show that creating less specific models that integrate information from different related problems can decrease the computational cost of model learning with only a small decrease in terms of model accuracy.
AB - Accurate forecasting of customer demand can be critical for increasing operational efficiency and augmenting customer satisfaction, particularly in scenarios that involve multiple service units. In this paper, we focus on the problem of predicting the volume of vehicles in a network of gas stations and conduct an exhaustive investigation of different classes of recurrent neural networks for this problem. Particularly, we investigate the tradeoff between the accuracy and the overall complexity of sets of RNNs that employ varying number of models. We compare higher granularity models, where an RNN is learned from a particular dataset, to more general models sets, where a single neural network is learned from different but related datasets. Our results show that creating less specific models that integrate information from different related problems can decrease the computational cost of model learning with only a small decrease in terms of model accuracy.
KW - Demand forecasting
KW - predictive models
KW - recurrent neural networks
KW - time series analysis
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85099689460
U2 - 10.1109/SSCI47803.2020.9308368
DO - 10.1109/SSCI47803.2020.9308368
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85099689460
T3 - 2020 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2020
SP - 2625
EP - 2632
BT - 2020 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2020
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
T2 - 2020 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2020
Y2 - 1 December 2020 through 4 December 2020
ER -