Electricity price and demand forecasting under smart grid environment

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

7 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this paper, the development of electricity price and demand forecasting, with the emergence of demand response programs, is investigated. Short Term Load/Price Forecasting (STL/PF) is performed for an electricity market that offers Demand Response (DR) Programs. The change in the forecasting errors, of both electricity price and demand, over years of inactive and active DR is monitored. Commonly used prediction methods, namely; Least Squares-Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM), and Random Forests (RF), are used for forecasting, to ensure the generality of the results. The Australian National Electricity Market (ANEM), specifically Victoria region, is used as a subject case study. It was concluded that adding DR programs decreases the volatility of electricity price, with no validated effect on demand.

Original languageBritish English
Title of host publication2015 IEEE 15th International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering, EEEIC 2015 - Conference Proceedings
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1956-1960
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9781479979936
DOIs
StatePublished - 22 Jul 2015
Event15th IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering, EEEIC 2015 - Rome, Italy
Duration: 10 Jun 201513 Jun 2015

Publication series

Name2015 IEEE 15th International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering, EEEIC 2015 - Conference Proceedings

Conference

Conference15th IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering, EEEIC 2015
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityRome
Period10/06/1513/06/15

Keywords

  • Demand Response
  • Electricity Market
  • Forecasting
  • Power Demand
  • Smart Grid

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